What are independent forecasters suggesting for Loudoun County and Northern Virginia? Compare their early temperature, precipitation and snow outlooks below. These are each source’s views, not a combined Loudoun Weather forecast.
Last updated7 released outlooks 5 awaiting verification or release 2 almanacs listed separately
What changed since September 23?
NOAA/CPC: October 15 maps replace September 17 maps; local warmer/wetter categories remain.
AccuWeather: October 7 release added; wetter regional signal, with unsupported local cells still ?.
Climate Impact Company: October 15 independent maps and links added; seasonal warm/wet signal retained, older monthly entries cleared.
Old Farmer’s Almanac: October 8 page checked; Appalachians categories unchanged. Farmers’ Almanac: October 1 narrative checked; unsupported temperature category cleared.
WxRisk and ArkWeather added as user-suggested leads; specific 2026–27 posts await verification.
DTN: October 21 webinar still upcoming. Capital Weather Gang: independent local outlook not verified; no release date assumed.
Checked through October 16, 2026. A ? means unavailable or unverified for this place and period; it does not by itself mean the provider has released nothing. Source dates and scope appear below. Detailed change log.
The winter outlook, side by side
12 forecast sources · Select a site for details
All periods shown. Scroll sideways if needed.
Preliminary winter 2026–27 outlooks for Loudoun County and Northern Virginia. D means a direct regional source statement. R means regional interpretation. Question mark means unavailable or unverified.
? Unavailable or unverifiedD Direct regional statementR Regional interpretation / nearby proxyEqual Chances No favored category
All values are relative to each source’s normal. “Full Winter” follows each source’s stated season; see the period on each card. Monthly values are never filled from seasonal averages. Precipitation includes rain and melted snow.
How consensus is calculated: A simple majority of available entries for each period and measure, counting each released forecast provider once. Both almanacs are excluded and listed in a separate table below. Unknown values are excluded; one available source is “Limited data,” and no majority is “Mixed.” Counts show agreement among sources, not forecast probabilities. Seasonal windows and local interpretations differ. Snow coverage remains limited and includes a DC proxy; Equal Chances means no favored snowfall category, not a forecast of normal snow.
The sources behind the outlooks
Published guidance · Still preliminary
NOAA / CPC
Preliminary
Official seasonal outlook · October 15, 2026
Warmer and wetter odds for Northern Virginia; no seasonal snowfall category is issued in this product.
October 15 DJF maps still favor above-normal temperature and precipitation for Northern Virginia. Broad local categories are unchanged from September 23; this is a new issue, not a newly colder or snowier forecast. CPC supplies three-month windows, not separate December, January and February outlooks at this lead. Snow is not issued in this product.
Temperature • December–February Source: NOAA / NWS Climate Prediction Center. October 15, 2026. Select map to enlarge.Precipitation • December–February Source: NOAA / NWS Climate Prediction Center. October 15, 2026. Select map to enlarge.
Unaltered NOAA/NWS public-domain graphics, saved October 16, 2026. No NOAA endorsement is implied.
Supplied September guidance · newer release unverified · Seasonal maps updated September 1, 2026; monthly graphic dated September 22, 2026
BAM favors above-normal winter temperatures and precipitation, with equal chances for snowfall in Loudoun / Northern Virginia. Its December and January maps also favor warmer and wetter conditions.
Seasonal temperature and precipitation cover December–February (DJF); snowfall covers November–March (NDJFM). Values are regional interpretations of the supplied BAM maps, consistent with the user’s local reading. Equal Chances does not predict normal snowfall. February monthly values remain ? because no February-only map was supplied. Original public publication URLs have not been supplied; the earlier Bayer January 2026 material remains excluded. Reviewed October 16: no newer public replacement graphic was verified. These supplied September maps are retained as dated guidance, not represented as an October update.
Source: BAM Weather. User-supplied seasonal graphic; maps updated September 1, 2026. Temperature and precipitation: December–February. Snow: November–March. Original image and attribution retained. Select to enlarge.Source: BAM Weather. User-supplied graphic dated September 22, 2026; December maps updated September 1 and January maps September 7. Original image retained with attribution. Select to enlarge.
Forecast period: Temperature / precipitation: December–February; snow: November–March. Monthly detail: December and January.
Meteorological outlook · Article September 11, 2026; map caption identifies September 21 issue
A warm start, with the warmth easing later in winter. Northern Virginia remains on the above-normal side of all three monthly temperature maps.
Temperature values are local readings of the published national maps. February is close to the transition toward near-normal conditions farther south. The seasonal precipitation map favors wetter conditions. The article does not provide local monthly precipitation or snowfall totals. Rechecked October 16: no newer Loudoun-relevant winter revision verified. An October 1 Midwest article reuses September 21 guidance; it is not a new local forecast.
Graphics remain with the publisher; use the original links to view them.
WeatherBell
Preliminary
Meteorological outlook · August 9, 2026
The preview lists 15–20 inches for Washington, DC, described by the source as slightly above normal. That is a DC forecast, not a Loudoun snowfall total.
The temperature map places Northern Virginia near normal (−1 to +1°F), but covers November–March. East Coast precipitation is favored to be heavier. Snow and precipitation summarize the broad winter preview; monthly categories are not supplied. The DC snow category is used only as a nearby regional proxy. Rechecked October 16: the linked public preview retains its original issue date; no newer local replacement was verified.
Forecast period: Temperature: November–March; snow: source winter season
Graphics remain with the publisher; use the original links to view them.
OpenSnow
Preliminary
Meteorological outlook · August 11, 2026
Above-normal temperatures and precipitation east of the Appalachians, with equal snowfall chances for Virginia.
The source explicitly identifies Virginia for equal snowfall chances and the eastern Mid-Atlantic for wetter conditions. January and February have stronger regional snow signals, especially in the Southern Appalachians; those analog signals are not month-specific Loudoun forecasts, so monthly cells remain ?. Rechecked October 16: the linked public preview retains its original issue date; no newer local replacement was verified.
Forecast period: Source winter / ski season; not explicitly DJF-only
Graphics remain with the publisher; use the original links to view them.
Climate Impact Company
Preliminary
Meteorological outlook · October 15, 2026 (CIC constructed analog maps)
New October 15 CIC maps favor a mild, wet winter in Northern Virginia. The broad seasonal categories match the earlier comparison.
Seasonal cells are regional readings of CIC’s own DJF constructed-analog maps (figures 8–9), inspected October 16. NOAA maps in the same article are not counted as independent CIC guidance. October 6 ECMWF commentary is model context, not another forecast-provider vote. Older December temperature and February precipitation entries have been cleared: no current local monthly revision was verified. Snow remains ?.
Graphics remain with the publisher; use the original links to view them.
AccuWeather
Preliminary
Published national winter outlook · October 7, 2026 (U.S. Eastern time)
Released since September 23. An active storm track favors wet conditions in the Mid-Atlantic; the release cites Washington, DC precipitation at 130% of average.
The U.S. newsroom dates the release October 7; the article displays October 8 in Australian time. DC is a nearby proxy, not a Loudoun total. The public text does not establish an unambiguous Loudoun temperature or snow anomaly, so those cells remain ?. Late-January/February storm opportunities are not monthly snowfall categories.
Forecast period: Source winter season; monthly local categories not provided
Graphics remain with the publisher; use the original links to view them.
Coming soon / awaiting verification
No forecast assumed
“Coming Soon” reserves a place in this comparison. Unless a date is stated, no release date or public 2026–27 forecast has been confirmed. A forecast may exist in a subscription service or an unindexed channel.
Capital Weather Gang
Awaiting verification
Awaiting a verified public outlook · Checked October 16, 2026
No 2026–27 local DC winter outlook was verified in this review.
No independent 2026–27 DC-area winter forecast was verified by October 16. The Washington Post’s October 15 syndicated AP story reports NOAA and other forecasters; it is not Capital Weather Gang’s own outlook. Unknown does not prove unreleased or imply a release date.
Awaiting a verified public outlook · Checked October 16, 2026
The 2026–27 Winter Outlook webinar is scheduled for October 21, 2026.
Official schedule rechecked October 16: October 21 winter webinar is still upcoming. An October 8 DTN article discusses western Plains moisture, but does not establish Loudoun categories. All local cells remain ?.
Awaiting a verified public outlook · Checked October 16, 2026
A public 2026–27 winter outlook was not verified in this review.
Older winter outlooks and descriptions of subscription services do not establish a released 2026–27 forecast. A public release date has not been verified.
Awaiting a verified public outlook · Checked October 16, 2026
Official site verified; specific 2026–27 winter ideas await source verification.
The user flagged preliminary winter ideas. No dated 2026–27 post or graphic was verified in this review. The Facebook page redirects to login; older winter outlooks are not reused. This status means unverified, not unreleased.
Awaiting a verified public outlook · Checked October 16, 2026
User-suggested winter outlook lead; exact forecaster/page not yet identified.
The spelling and source identity need confirmation before forecast values or links can be attributed. No unrelated Ark location forecast or similarly named site is substituted. All cells remain ? pending the specific post or page.
Forecast period: Not yet verified
Almanac outlooks
Separate reference · Excluded from consensus
These almanac predictions are retained for reference and are not included in the main forecast comparison or its consensus. Only seasonal categories are shown here; verified monthly categories are unavailable.
Almanac full-winter outlooks, excluded from forecast consensus. R means regional interpretation; ? means unavailable.
R = regional interpretation. Each almanac’s seasonal window and regional boundaries are explained below.
Old Farmer’s Almanac
Preliminary
Almanac outlook · Page updated October 8, 2026
The Appalachians outlook favors colder, drier and snowier conditions. Leesburg is assigned to the Appalachians in the Almanac’s location lookup.
October 8 page still gives the Appalachians colder, drier and snowier categories. Those categories match the September 23 comparison. Leesburg-based regional interpretation is retained; the adjacent Atlantic Corridor differs (warmer, drier, slightly less snow). Lists of cold or snowy spells do not establish full-month anomalies.
Forecast period: Source winter season; includes spells outside DJF
Graphics remain with the publisher; use the original links to view them.
Farmers’ Almanac
Preliminary
Almanac outlook · Page updated October 1, 2026
The revised public narrative favors an active, wet southern storm track and possible Eastern Seaboard storms. A local temperature or snowfall anomaly is not established.
Since September 23 the public article has changed to an October 1 narrative. The earlier near-normal/slightly cooler Virginia temperature category is not supported by this current text and is now ?. Wetter is a broad Southeast-to-East-Coast interpretation; snowfall and monthly categories remain ?. Storm opportunities in January/February do not establish monthly totals.
Forecast period: Source season: late November–March
Graphics remain with the publisher; use the original links to view them.
Keep the location in view
Loudoun spans lower elevations and the Blue Ridge. National maps and broad regional forecasts cannot capture every local difference. R marks our interpretation of those maps, a regional boundary or a nearby-city proxy. D identifies an explicit statement for a region containing Loudoun; it is still not a county-specific forecast.
A winter tendency is not a storm forecast
A warm winter can still bring a major snowstorm. Wetter does not automatically mean snowier. Equal Chances is not a prediction of normal conditions, and ? is not zero. Providers use different methods and seasonal windows; this table does not rank their accuracy or weight sources by forecasting skill.
