Loudoun Weather

The Forecast and Debby Update – You can see in the attached from US National Weather Service Baltimore/Washington that the remaining rains, directly from Debby, are now in the 1.5 to 3-inch range for Loudoun. I agree with this as the storm is going to be picked up well with the trough, which will help bring cooler/dryer air this weekend and accelerate it northwards. The storm is now expected to be far enough west to keep that heavier swath of rain to the west as well. 1.5 to 3 inches of rain is great. Of note, there could still be training storms that happen in localized areas, and these could drop several inches of rain. Where/If these set up will be a radar watching and short-term outlook.

Severe threat: Although there is a risk of tornadoes, it is not that great. I've attached the outlook, and I'll be watching for updates later as the storm approaches. Storms could still produce gusty winds.

The weather turns so lovely after this, and we look dry from late Friday through next Wednesday. We will see what impacts the recent rain has on the drought, but we will remain in a drought. However, some locations will be dropped from the extreme and moderate drought. I attached the latest monitor that only counted rain through Tuesday morning.  

The  Forecast:

Today: Hi 78 ⛈️80% Lo 73 ⛈️90% – Showers and possibly a thunderstorm. Some storms could produce heavy rainfall with gusty winds.

Friday: Hi 81 ⛈️100% Lo 67 🌙40% – Showers and thunderstorms, heavy rainfall possible. Chance of showers and thunderstorms at night, becoming partly cloudy later.

Saturday: Hi 82 ☀️ Lo 61 🌙 – Sunny

Sunday: Hi 82 ☀️ Lo 59 🌙 – Sunny 

Monday: Hi 84 ☀️ Lo 62 🌤️ – Sunny

Tuesday: Hi 81 🌤️ Lo 62 🌤️ – Mostly sunny 

Wednesday: Hi 84 🌤️ Lo 63 🌤️ – Mostly sunny

Welcome to the start of the last month of meteorological summer! It will be hot, and we have a chance of showers and storms over the next few days. With the humidity and heat combined, we will feel close to 100 to 105 at times today and tomorrow! Just nasty hot weather! We need any rain we can get, and there is an enhanced chance of getting it over the next several days. Storms that do form could produce locally heavy rainfall. Additionally, the NOAA NWS Storm Prediction Center has us at a marginal risk of severe (1 out of 5). 

The extended remains above normal with temperatures and a chance of above-average rain chances! We could see closer-to-normal temperatures in the longer range. 

The forecast:

Today: Hi 95 ⛈️40% Lo 72🌙30% – 🥵 Scattered showers and thunderstorms, partly cloudy

Friday: Hi 95 ⛈️70% Lo 72 ⛈️70% – 🥵 Showers and thunderstorms likely, mostly cloudy

Saturday: Hi 91 ⛈️80% Lo 70 ⛈️80% – Showers and thunderstorms likely

Sunday: Hi 88 ⛈️50% Lo 69 🌙 – Partly sunny with a good chance of showers and storms, mostly clear at night

Monday: Hi 93 ☀️ Lo 68 🌙 – Sunny, partly cloudy at night

Tuesday: Hi 89 ☀️ Lo 70 🌙 – Sunny, mostly clear at night

Wednesday: Hi 90 ⛈️40% Lo 70 🌙 – Mostly sunny with a chance of showers and thunderstorms