Loudoun County Weather Outlook for Thursday, August 8, 2024

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The Forecast and Debby Update – You can see in the attached from US National Weather Service Baltimore/Washington that the remaining rains, directly from Debby, are now in the 1.5 to 3-inch range for Loudoun. I agree with this as the storm is going to be picked up well with the trough, which will help bring cooler/dryer air this weekend and accelerate it northwards. The storm is now expected to be far enough west to keep that heavier swath of rain to the west as well. 1.5 to 3 inches of rain is great. Of note, there could still be training storms that happen in localized areas, and these could drop several inches of rain. Where/If these set up will be a radar watching and short-term outlook.
Severe threat: Although there is a risk of tornadoes, it is not that great. I've attached the outlook, and I'll be watching for updates later as the storm approaches. Storms could still produce gusty winds.
The weather turns so lovely after this, and we look dry from late Friday through next Wednesday. We will see what impacts the recent rain has on the drought, but we will remain in a drought. However, some locations will be dropped from the extreme and moderate drought. I attached the latest monitor that only counted rain through Tuesday morning.  
The  Forecast:
Today: Hi 78 ⛈️80% Lo 73 ⛈️90% – Showers and possibly a thunderstorm. Some storms could produce heavy rainfall with gusty winds.
Friday: Hi 81 ⛈️100% Lo 67 🌙40% – Showers and thunderstorms, heavy rainfall possible. Chance of showers and thunderstorms at night, becoming partly cloudy later.
Saturday: Hi 82 ☀️ Lo 61 🌙 – Sunny
Sunday: Hi 82 ☀️ Lo 59 🌙 – Sunny 
Monday: Hi 84 ☀️ Lo 62 🌤️ – Sunny
Tuesday: Hi 81 🌤️ Lo 62 🌤️ – Mostly sunny 
Wednesday: Hi 84 🌤️ Lo 63 🌤️ – Mostly sunny
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Loudoun County Weather Outlook for Friday, August 2, 2024

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IT IS HOT! A Heat Advisory kicks in at noon and ends at 8pm. The rain focus has been hard to pinpoint the last few days. I am NOT HAPPY with the trends being east of us but, we can get some prolific rainers where storms can form.

We have a marginal risk (1 out of 5) for a severe storm, and wind would be the main threat. There are some hints that it could be raised today and tomorrow. I will be watching.

There are signs that we will get back to normal temperatures later next week and a continued chance of above-average rain.

THERE IS A CHANCE that we could get some influence from the tropical system that will be impacting the southeast. I do not have much confidence for us, but anyone heading to the beaches in the Southeastern US from Virginia to Florida should be thinking of some non-beach things to do because this system is going to be a problem! From rain to rough seas, this system could be a problem. SO MUCH UNKNOWN for now, but I will be updating as we look at the system through the weekend.

The forecast:
Today: Hi 97 ⛈️60% Lo 72 ⛈️60% 🌡️ – 🥵 Scattered showers and thunderstorms likely, becoming more frequent after 3pm. Mostly sunny and hot, with heat index values up to 104.

Saturday: Hi 90 ⛈️70% Lo 70 ⛈️60% – Isolated showers in the morning, then showers and thunderstorms likely from late morning.

Sunday: Hi 88 ⛈️50% Lo 69 🌙30% – A chance of showers and thunderstorms, especially after 11am.

Monday: Hi 94 ☀️ Lo 69 🌙 – 🥵 Sunny and mostly clear.

Tuesday: Hi 91 🌤️ Lo 68 ⛈️30% – Mostly sunny during the day. A chance of showers and thunderstorms at night.

Wednesday: Hi 87 🌤️30% Lo 66 ⛈️30% – Mostly sunny with a chance of showers and thunderstorms throughout the day and night.

Thursday: Hi 86 🌤️30% Lo 66🌙 – Mostly sunny with a chance of showers.

The total rain forecast for the next seven days is attached. You can note the downward trend from yesterday, but 1 to 2 inches is not bad! We can hope!

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Loudoun County Weather Outlook for Thursday, August 1, 2024

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Welcome to the start of the last month of meteorological summer! It will be hot, and we have a chance of showers and storms over the next few days. With the humidity and heat combined, we will feel close to 100 to 105 at times today and tomorrow! Just nasty hot weather! We need any rain we can get, and there is an enhanced chance of getting it over the next several days. Storms that do form could produce locally heavy rainfall. Additionally, the NOAA NWS Storm Prediction Center has us at a marginal risk of severe (1 out of 5). 
The extended remains above normal with temperatures and a chance of above-average rain chances! We could see closer-to-normal temperatures in the longer range. 
The forecast:
Today: Hi 95 ⛈️40% Lo 72🌙30% – 🥵 Scattered showers and thunderstorms, partly cloudy
Friday: Hi 95 ⛈️70% Lo 72 ⛈️70% – 🥵 Showers and thunderstorms likely, mostly cloudy
Saturday: Hi 91 ⛈️80% Lo 70 ⛈️80% – Showers and thunderstorms likely
Sunday: Hi 88 ⛈️50% Lo 69 🌙 – Partly sunny with a good chance of showers and storms, mostly clear at night
Monday: Hi 93 ☀️ Lo 68 🌙 – Sunny, partly cloudy at night
Tuesday: Hi 89 ☀️ Lo 70 🌙 – Sunny, mostly clear at night
Wednesday: Hi 90 ⛈️40% Lo 70 🌙 – Mostly sunny with a chance of showers and thunderstorms
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Loudoun County Weather Outlook for Thursday, July 18, 2024

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The drought has gotten worse and is extremely bad in far western Loudoun. The latest drought monitor shows Extreme Drought. Yesterday's rain was around a quarter to half an inch for many, but many did not see that much. 
We are entering an unsettled time, and I am hopeful some rain chances will pan out over the next week! We need it bad. 
Temps will be near normal, which, for this time of year, is the upper 80s to 90 degrees.
YES, we get a break from the humidity today and tomorrow which will make it nicer to be outside. 
The extended forecast is showing temperatures slightly above average and slightly above normal rain chances. 
The forecast that does show quite a few chances for rain starting Saturday:
Today: Hi 88 🌤️ Lo 63 🌙  – Mostly cloudy with north wind around 7 mph during the day and partly cloudy with north wind 3 to 6 mph at night.
Friday: Hi 88 ☀️ Lo 68 🌙  – Sunny with north wind around 6 mph becoming calm in the afternoon. 
Saturday:  Hi 83🌤️⛈️50% Lo 66  ⛈️ 30%  – Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers and thunderstorms in the afternoon. 
Sunday: Hi 89 🌤️⛈️ 30%  Lo 68 🌧️ 30%  – Mostly sunny with a chance of showers and thunderstorms in the afternoon. Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers and thunderstorms at night.
Monday: Hi 87 🌤️⛈️ 50% Lo 69 🌧️ 40%   – Partly sunny with a chance of showers and thunderstorms in the afternoon. Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers and thunderstorms at night.
Tuesday: Hi 88 🌤️⛈️ 60%  Lo 70 🌧️ 60% – Partly sunny with showers and possibly a thunderstorm. Mostly cloudy with showers and thunderstorms likely at night.
Wednesday: Hi 88 🌤️⛈️ 70% – Partly sunny with showers and possibly a thunderstorm.
#loudoun #loudouncountyva #vawx #loudounweather #loudounva #virginiaweather
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Loudoun County Weather Outlook for Monday, July 15, 2024

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Just plain ridiculously hot today and tomorrow. With the slight westerly winds, the dewpoints will come down a bit, making the heat index around 105 today and not the super hot ones we could have had. That is why we are in a heat advisory, not an Excessive Heat Warning. That slight drying from the winds coming down the mountains will keep the air a touch drier. What is not clear is if that also will translate into higher temps than forecast. I would not be surprised if it does. When air sinks, it warms, and it could make us a few degrees hotter than forecast. It is also possible some clouds and showers or storms could help lower the highs.. we can hope, but westerly winds are not good for showers and storms either. 
The break will come on Wednesday. AGAIN, I do NOT LIKE the trajectory of the front and winds. This has already influenced the expected rain totals and brought them down some. That is not a trend we want to see. I do think we will see some showers and some storms around the area on Wednesday, but these could be too little or not well organized, which would make us see less rain! :
We will “cool” to near average temps from Thursday through the weekend. Things look a bit unsettled for the weekend, which could mean showers and storms in the afternoon. We can hope. 
The extended gives me hope that the next few days will be the hottest stretch of summer and that we will be near normal for the next few weeks. It is still pretty hot, but maybe not so oppressive! 
Stay cool, drink fluids, and be sensitive to your pet's and animal's needs. Check on neighbors and make sure they have good AC. Do what you can to help those in the sweltering heat! 
The forecast:
Today: Hi 99 Lo 72 🥵🌡️🌤️ ⛈️ 30%  – 🥵 Sunny and hot with scattered showers and thunderstorms in the afternoon. Heat index values as high as 106. Partly cloudy with scattered showers and thunderstorms in the evening.
Tuesday: Hi 101 Lo 74 🥵🌡️☀️ ⛈️20% – 🥵 Sunny and hot with a slight chance of showers and thunderstorms in the afternoon. Heat index values as high as 107. Partly cloudy with a slight chance of showers and thunderstorms at night.
Wednesday: Hi 95 Lo 71 🌤️⛈️ 70%  ⛈️60% – 🥵 Partly sunny with showers and thunderstorms likely in the afternoon. 
Thursday: Hi 85 Lo 63 🌤️ 30% 🌙 – Cooler! Partly sunny with a chance of showers. 
Friday: Hi 86 Lo 66 🌤️- Mostly sunny
Saturday: Hi 84 Lo 67 🌤️ 30%  – Partly sunny with a chance of showers. Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers at night.
Sunday: Hi 87 🌤️⛈️ 30% – Partly sunny with a chance of showers and thunderstorms.
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